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October 17, 2021

Comments

Joe

As Jennifer noted on the "Welcome Carpetbaggers" post, the Council meeting details are:

This Monday night at Oct. 18 at 7pm, the Burlingame City Council will be discussing SB9 and SB10 (Agenda Item 10b)
Phone Dial 1-669-900-6833
Meeting ID: 894 9704 8575
Passcode: 748490
Anyone who'd like to speak on this item should "raise a hand" or send in a comment at:
publiccomment@burlingame.org

Tom Scholz

All I want is to have my peace of mind

--Boston

Isn't this why we elect these people?

Rob Adams

I'm all for diversity and affordable housing, but here in BUILDINGAME, our town has become a Monopoly Board (for you old timers) of grab it/scrap it/fill it to overflow. And as the Editor points out, this is all while the "growth" in the Bay Area is actually a negative number. It might make sense to slow our roll, but I assume there is too much $$$ for that to happen. Let's be honest, we will need to change our motto from "The City of Trees" to "The City of Squeeze".

Cassandra

Not only did fewer people migrate into the state, but Bay Area residents are some of the only ones in the state continuing to pack up and move — and they now make up an even larger share of those saying goodbye to the Golden State than before the pandemic.

Since the start of pandemic in 2020, the California Policy Lab report found, the Bay Area has experienced a staggering 45% drop in the number of people coming into the area, with the hardest hit counties being San Francisco (-52.2%), Santa Clara (−51.5%) and San Mateo (−47.6%).

In Santa Clara County, for example, roughly 10,000 adults were coming into the county at the start of 2020. This year, that number plummeted to about 4,500. The study did not measure foreign migrations, which historically have been a source of population growth for the region. Mercury News

Paloma Ave

Have Burlingame Council members talked about changing all R-1 to R-2 in order to thwart SB9 and SB10?

resident

The same study says The report found that while the Golden State is losing more than twice as many people to domestic migration than it did before the pandemic, the decline is largely due to fewer out-of-state residents moving in, not more Californians moving out. And the report doesn’t take into account international migration — which for more than a decade has helped California’s population grow, albeit at a slower pace than the rest of the nation.

That's what we call it now. "International migration"

Joe

Happy New Year. Here's an update on the exodus:

Data keep piling up on where Americans are moving, and the pattern is clear. In the second year of the pandemic, people continued to ditch the coasts and Great Lakes in favor of less dense, more affordable climes.

That’s the finding of the latest National Movers Study, released Monday by moving company United Van Lines. The survey ranks the states that drew large shares of move-ins in 2021, with a corresponding list of the biggest losers.

The largest net gain belonged to Vermont, where 74% of moves were inbound. The rest of the top five includes South Dakota (69%), South Carolina (63%), West Virginia (63%) and Florida (62%).

New Jersey was the biggest loser for the fourth consecutive year, with 71% of its moves heading out. Next on the departures list were Illinois (67%), New York (63%), Connecticut (60%) and California (59%).

Joe

Dan Walters at CalMatters.org weighing in with some of the recent statistics on population:

In 2016, with the state’s population estimated at 38.7 million, the Public Policy Institute of California declared that “California will continue to gain millions of new residents in each of the next two decades, increasing demand in all areas of infrastructure and public services – including education, transportation, housing, water, health, and welfare.”

“By 2030, PPIC said, “California’s population is projected to reach 44.1 million.” That’s not going to happen either.

The 2020 census pegged the state’s population at 39.5 million and a recent report from the Census Bureau says California had a net loss of more than a quarter-million residents between July 1, 2020, and July 1, 2021.

“California appears to be on the verge of a new demographic era, one in which population declines characterize the state,” PPIC demographer Hans Johnson writes in a new analysis. “Lower levels of international migration, declining birth rates, and increases in deaths all play a role. But the primary driver of the state’s population loss over the past couple years has been the result of California residents moving to other states.”

Since 2010, Johnson continued, “about 7.5 million people moved from California to other states, while only 5.8 million people moved to California from other parts of the country. According to Department of Finance estimates, the state has lost residents to other states every year since 2001.”

Instead of zooming past 40 million to 45 and then 50 million by mid-century, as earlier projections indicated, California may remain stuck just under 40 million indefinitely.

https://calmatters.org/commentary/2022/04/california-population-decline/?utm_source=CalMatters+Newsletters&utm_campaign=7da40eff25-WHATMATTERS&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_faa7be558d-7da40eff25-150672308&mc_cid=7da40eff25&mc_eid=914e27b612

I would not use the word "stuck". How about stable at probably just more than we have the infrastructure to support properly?

Joe

Here's some of today's Daily Journal article "for the record". Build, build, build in Buildingame?

San Mateo County saw its population decrease by roughly 24,500 people, or 3.2%, from July 2020 to July 2021, figures consistent with those observed around the nation as urban coastal areas emptied out in the early stages of the pandemic, according to the U.S. Census Bureau.

The county’s population went from 762,453 to 737,888, according to the census.

And further census data released this week breaks the exodus down city by city, revealing San Mateo and Daly City has some of the most dramatic losses of any large city in the nation. Cities are considered large if they are over 100,000.

San Mateo now has a population of 102,200 and Daly City now has a population of 101,243. The two cities lost 3,108 and 3,428 people respectively during the span, 3% and 3.2% of their populations which both now hover just above 100,000. The only cities that lost a greater portion of their residents were San Francisco, which lost 6.3%, and New York City, which lost 3.5%.

But in the county, several smaller cities lost sizable numbers as well. Burlingame, Millbrae, East Palo Alto and Pacifica, with populations ranging from 22,000 to 38,000, each saw a decline of 3.6%. The lowest rate of decrease was in San Carlos with 2.4%.

https://www.smdailyjournal.com/news/local/san-mateo-county-population-falls/article_a2b57ca2-e163-11ec-b2df-07b41aa90e0f.html?utm_source=smdailyjournal.com&utm_campaign=%2Fnewsletters%2Fheadlines%2F%3F-dc%3D1654092021&utm_medium=email&utm_content=headline

It looks like these ADUs are really just quiet home office space like I expected :-)

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