We tracked the Covid-19 numbers for the last six weeks here. That was entirely in the SIP timeframe, but things are loosening up in multiple directions now. Restaurants are reopening for dine-in service, non-essential stores are allowing limited numbers of people at a time, and churches are resuming live services; outdoors and with waivers in some cases. Essential stores are pretty crowded; Lowe's for example. The county as had several large demonstrations where social distancing was ignored. It feels like we might be at a tipping point in the coming week or two, so here are the baseline figures today from the county site at SMChealth.org.
In our county of 759,000 people 46,480 have been tested (about 6%). The positivity rate has been declining and is now 5.4% -- meaning we have either 2,528 or 2,553 cases --both numbers appear on the same data page. That's about 335 cases per 100,000. NYC has 2,460 cases per 100,000--more than seven times as many. The age distribution of cases in San Mateo County has shifted to younger people with 50% being in their 20's, 30's and 40's.
Let's see how things look again in a week.
Our current rain year ending October 1 has SFO getting 9.17 inches of water. Our normal is 20.65.
I consider it a drought year.
Posted by: Paloma Ave | September 13, 2020 at 05:33 PM
Drought.gov
The 2019-2020 snow season ended with a few regions in snow drought, including part of the Lower Colorado River Basin in Arizona and New Mexico, the Sierra Nevada, the Great Basin, parts of the Cascade Range, and south Central Alaska. In terms of total snow covered area for the western United States as a whole from MODIS satellite data, from mid-winter through the melt season this year wound up being not too far from average when considering the 2001-2019 distribution.
Posted by: Sign Me Up | September 13, 2020 at 06:35 PM
The Saturday update shows no change to speak of:
Cases: 9,522 (up 445 in a week)
R-eff: .99 (doesn't seem to make a difference if it's .77 or .99 in new cases)
Positivity: 5.7% (very, very stable)
Burlingame cases: 215 (up 26 in a week)
It's pretty amazing that gyms and churches cannot open with the standard precautions. Well-spaced indoor dining (25% of normal capacity) would probably work as well.
Posted by: Joe | September 19, 2020 at 11:50 AM
After the first month when we’d lowered the curve for hospital beds would’ve been nice.
This has been one big experiment making people dependent on big government and ruining individual responsibility and entrepreneurship.
I suspect socialists, unions and government employees.
And China. The direct hit to our economy, sense of unity and national mood is too targeted to not be planned and coordinated.
Posted by: Wunderkind | September 19, 2020 at 02:05 PM
There's a .01% chance of rain, I'm appalled no one outside is using an umbrella.
Posted by: Barking Dog | September 21, 2020 at 10:32 PM
https://youtu.be/uese-6Xln7o
Once again, comedy telling more truths than the MSM
Posted by: Barking Dog | September 24, 2020 at 08:43 AM
It was a big week for Covid-19 news as San Mateo County went to "Red" and more businesses can do limited openings--including movie theaters! Gyms and churches continue to be over-controlled......
Here's the Saturday update:
Cases: 9843 (up 321 this week, so a definite slowdown)
R-eff: .94 (magically dropping a little)
Positivity: 5.7% (exactly flat)
Burlingame Cases: 223 (up 8 for the week)
Posted by: Joe | September 26, 2020 at 02:26 PM
Good job everybody.
We've destroyed millions upon millions of lives. Hint: its not all about deaths, its about how we live. Put masks on babies in carriages, crapped out on education that was already a joke, and built the biggest cult of muzzled fools this planet has ever seen, the Branch Covidians. Remind me not to vote for any democrat. They all supported it. I'm looking at you jackie...
Posted by: MBGA | September 27, 2020 at 10:23 PM