Bayfront Prediction - 48 Inches of Rise?

The SF Chronicle broke up the pandemic news with a front page piece about the local effects of sea level rise.

The study was led by the Bay Conservation and Development Commission, which released its first detailed look at sea level rise in 2007. But the autonomous state agency was joined in this effort by the Metropolitan Transportation Commission and the Bay Area Regional Collaborative. Caltrans funded most of the $1.2 million study, which bears the unwieldy title, “Adapting to Rising Tides Bay Area: Regional Sea Level Rise Vulnerability and Adaptation Study.”

The full report analyzes scenarios for 10 different extremes of “total water levels,” a term that would apply to straightforward higher tides — day in and day out — as well as storm surges layered on top of higher tides. They range from 12 to 108 inches.  But much of the emphasis is on a raised water level of 48 inches, a number that corresponds to the “likely” amount of sea level rise forecast in the Bay Area for 2120 by the California Ocean Protection Council.

This part caught my eye as we are enjoying a slightly quieter SFO although two nights ago was still quite bad

The findings go beyond large-scale numbers to highlight specific aspects of the approaching threat to how the region functions.

• Runways at San Francisco and Oakland airports would be largely under water.

It's fun to wander around the internet looking at various studies.  This one is pretty short and leads to the factoid that

The current sea level rise is 3 mm/year.  The data from the past can also be used for future projections, using a so-called semi-empirical model calibrated with the historically observed relationship between temperature and sea level. With the new data, this results in a projected increase in the 21st century of 24-131 cm, depending on our emissions and thus on the extent of global warming.

Keep in mind, the highest-water mark of 131cm is 51 inches or close to the "most likely" 48 inch rise in the Bay Area study.  You will have to decide if using the highest prediction is an April Fool's joke or not.

Comments

[[email protected]]

Unfortunately the impact "Rising Sea Level" will have a dire effect on the City of Burlingame.Sewage System, Housing, all infrastructure.
For years past, natural "High Tides" have caused havoc for our Public Works Dept.
From what I have read, the ENTIRE COB Sewage System will have to be removed and replaced.
Who will pay for that?
That could be a 10 year project.
Homes between ECR, Rollins Road, Trousdale and Peninsula may be flooded out. Loss of taxes, land, and the creation of new infrastructure may bring COB to it's financial knees.
Be Proactive instead of Reactive.
This IS going to happen and should be started ASAP....
PS.
In times like this No one cares about your Sushi orders. Ferrari's too.

[[email protected]]

Didn't the City of Burlingame recreation Director spend @$600,000.00 @ 5 years ago-2015, on a study to build Parks on the Bay Front?
Even though "Todays" information was widely available in 2002?
How does that happen?
Who signs off on that?
Oh Well.
Wash your Hands All!

[[email protected]]

Whatever the cost for the Bayside inquire, it should have been obvious that no amount of Money could stop the rising waters.

[Greta Stunnedbird]

We must not worry about sea levels in 60 years because the world is ending in only 12 years. Wait, now its only 11 years. Or is it 10. I forget what I told the U.N.

[[email protected]]

Unfortunately, people like Greta, as well as her message, are "Forgotten" by "the world" within 16 days.

[Fake News]

Asked if coastal cities such as San Francisco would be flooding due to sea-level rise caused by alleged man-made global warming, Mörner who has studies this for over 50 years was unequivocal: “Absolutely not.” “There is no rapid sea-level rise going on today, and there will not be,” he said, citing observable data. “On the contrary, if anything happens, the sea will go down a little.” The widely respected scientist, who has been tracking sea levels in various parts of the globe for some 50 years, blasted those who use incorrect “correction factors” in their data to make it appear that seas are rising worldwide. That is just wrong, he said.

[Greta Stunnedbird]

https://babylonbee.com/news/new-computer-models-showing-california-under-water-causes-huge-spike-in-support-for-climate-change