Let the record show that at 11:20 PM on November 1st we have rain falling. Will this be the start of a real El Nino year? While myopic planning commissions and city councils all through the state approve new developments and Moonbeam bemoans the dying trees we await real rain. Is this the start of it?
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We got 9/10ths of an inch of rain last night. A nice start.
Posted by: Joe | November 02, 2015 at 01:14 PM
Joe, really? C'mon, up the content, my friend!
Bruce Dickinson will let you slide and "blame it on the rain", ya know what I mean?
Posted by: Bruce Dickinson | November 02, 2015 at 07:25 PM
Sorry, BD, I think the lack of rain is a core issue for our time. I think we should be shutting down new housing and office growth until we have something resembling a plan for 30% more people and activity. And I resent having to let my lawn, trees and planting die so some developer can build more crap in town. It that enough "content"?
Posted by: Joe | November 02, 2015 at 07:43 PM
THATs what I wanna hear!!!! C'mon Joe, unleash the inner Rottweiler!!!
In all fairness, I do agree with you, but Bruce Dickinson thinks that drawing any conclusions from 9/10ths of an inch or any ridiculous El Nino prediction (like this drought was predicted in any way) is all premature. If we don't get enough rainfall (and more importantly snowfall) this year, we're in deep poop, but I'll get back to you in March at the earliest!
Posted by: Bruce Dickinson | November 02, 2015 at 07:57 PM
From my August 17 comment:
As an addendum, for anyone who tells you "We have a strong El Nino coming, don't worry", read this from a prominent skiing website:
We've had plenty of opportunities to write about The Blob over the last three seasons. The Blob actually refers to a large pool of warmer than expected water that has existed in the Gulf Of Alaska during our last three seasons. We know there seems to be some connection between The Blob and the Ridiculously Resilient Ridge, which resulted in storms being steered well north of Tahoe, and even the Pacific Northwest. Those storms dove into the eastern US, bringing them a snow-filled winter.
So far, most weather bloggers and media outlets have focused only on the El Niño side of the equation. But who will win the battle between The Blob and Godzilla (i.e. El Nino)? One suggestion is that the rotation of the high pressure system associated with The Blob could steer the southern jet directly to the north, sending even more moisture to the east.
That scenario would not be a good one for the west coast, where we don't just need the snow, we also need the water. Hopefully Howard Shekter at MammothWeather.com will be correct in stating that The Blob is cooling and we can get a good dose of much needed snow and rain into Tahoe for this season. We're going to have to wait a bit longer and see how things play out in the battle of the two monsters in weather.
------------------
So do not take that unanimous El Nino-will-save-us to the bank quite yet. As usual with climate issues, there is more than one side to the story.
Posted by: Inner Rottweiler | November 02, 2015 at 09:12 PM
"Wrooof, rrrrr..woof-woof wooooof!!!"
Joe, that's Dickinson Doggie talk translated to English as "10 Cowbells for that, Joe!"
Ya know what I mean?
Posted by: Bruce Dickinson | November 03, 2015 at 07:23 PM
Thanks for the scratch behind my ear.
Posted by: Joe | November 04, 2015 at 12:48 AM
According to the NOAA website (http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mtr/versprod.php?pil=CLI&sid=SFO) we only got .03 inches yesterday, but it looks like quite a bit more rain feel after midnight. That was some thunder and lightening this morning, too!
Posted by: Joe | November 09, 2015 at 12:23 PM
Joe, how about this? Let's agree on a rainfall prediction for the season, and for every actual inch under, Bruce Dickinson pays Joe $1,000. For every inch over, Joe pays Bruce Dickinson $1,000. If we're both over or under, we pay the net difference of actual versus the prediction. In the meantime, we both are NOT to talk about every rainfall stat until the payoff is made! Or we can forget the bet, but Bruce Dickinson pays Joe $100 outright to not mention rainfall statistics until March?! ;-)
Posted by: Bruce Dickinson | November 09, 2015 at 07:07 PM
No and no. I am fixated on rain since without rain this year there should be no new development in town. All their little EIRs should come up dry--pun intended.
But just for the sake of argument (which we both love) what is your over/under number? :-)
Posted by: Joe | November 09, 2015 at 09:59 PM
.36 of an inch today. .83 of an inch since October 1st.
Posted by: Joe | November 10, 2015 at 12:12 AM
It looks like another .31 of an inch overnight at SFO from one source and another has San Mateo getting .50 for a total of 1.47" since July 1st or 61% of "normal".
Posted by: Joe | November 15, 2015 at 04:55 PM